30/03/08 Rape Baloney Part Two According to the Home Office only some 5% of rape allegations made to the police are false. It is also nowadays suggested that some 90% of genuine rape victims do not report their rapes to the police. In this piece I intend to show not only that these figures are preposterous and completely unrealistic but that the false allegation rate is likely to be extremely high. Here is the evidence for my point of view. 1. If the above Home Office figures (as normally interpreted) were true, then it would follow that men are 190 times more likely to commit a rape than are women likely to make false allegations of rape. (To get some idea of how to arrive at this 190 figure using a bit of Maths see Rape Baloney.) This notion is preposterous, particularly given that there are numerous reasons why women might lie about rape and sex-assault in general; to gain sympathy, to seek revenge, to explain their own bad behaviour, because they are mentally unbalanced, because they have a personality disorder, because they are impulsive, hysterical, vindictive, drunk, imbued with PMS, and so on. Women can also make false allegations to gain some legal advantage - e.g. in divorce situations - and, often, simply to make money through victim compensation schemes. 2. The population of women in the UK is approximately 20 million. The number of rape allegations made to the police is about 12,000 per year. The latter figure is 0.06% of the former. In other words, if 0.06% of the population of women in the UK were to stumble into making false allegations then 12,000 false allegations would be made. Now, 0.06% is an extremely small percentage. Indeed, it is such a small percentage that it is completely swamped by the percentage of women who are known to have significant emotional problems of one sort or another. Some 3.5 million women in the UK (17.5% of women) also have severe emotional problems arising every month as a result of PMS For example, some 2% of women have Borderline Personality Disorder - a characteristic of which includes persistent lying and manipulation and a seemingly persistent desire to hurt others, particularly by accusing them of doing things that they have not done. Some 3.5 million women in the UK (17.5% of women) also have severe emotional problems arising every month as a result of PMS - with some significant percentage of these exhibiting extremely hostile and unwarranted behaviours (e.g. see this BBC article). And then, of course, women might be temporarily unbalanced by any number of everyday events. They might have taken alcohol or drugs. They might have had heated arguments with their partners. They might be feeling jealous, vindictive, violent, and a whole host of other things. turning up at a rape crisis centre ... is surely one good way of gaining both sympathy and attention free of charge. Furthermore, a significant number of women seem to claim that they have been abused in some way simply in order to talk to somebody. (Witness also, for example, the high volumes of women who use very expensive telephone chat lines just to talk to someone about their star signs or their emotional problems or who, perhaps, believe that the person on the other end of the line can talk to the ethereal spirits of their departed loved ones - or animals.) For some women, turning up at a rape crisis centre (without necessarily making an official allegation to the police) is surely one good way of gaining both sympathy and attention free of charge.  false allegations by youngsters and by young women often arise when they have 'failed' in some way According to a psychologist whom I spoke to recently, false allegations by youngsters and by young women often arise when they have 'failed' in some way. Perhaps they failed to do well in an exam, failed to get a good job, failed to achieve what their parents had hoped for. And one rather common ploy seems to be to make the claim that their failure is the result of some kind of abusive experience. By doing this, accusations that, for example, they might be lazy, incompetent etc etc can be deflected and replaced by a great deal of sympathy, understanding, aggressive professional support and, in many cases, financial compensation.  Instead of 'failures', they become 'heroes'. And they can achieve this nowadays simply by making false accusations - at no cost to themselves, even if they are found out. Generally speaking, therefore, throughout any given year, a very high percentage of women - at the minimum, some 50 times greater than the 0.06% figure - are very likely to be highly predisposed towards making false allegations in the appropriate circumstances. And so the notion that not even a small percentage of UK women - the 0.06% - would ever stumble into making a false allegation of rape is just not credible.  There are many incentives for women to claim that they have been raped There are many incentives for women to claim that they have been raped (as per point 1. above) and there are many women who have severe emotional and behavioural problems - temporary or otherwise. They are also daily encouraged by the media, the government and various victim groups to see themselves as having been 'abused' in some way. (Indeed, as I type this, I notice that Heather Mills (Paul McCartney's wife) seems determined to persecute Paul McCartney through the courts again in order, this time, to allege 'abuse'. This is a woman who, in my view, seems to have lied about everything in her past, and this includes a demonstrably false allegation that she was kidnapped and abused as a child by her swimming teacher. She has only hit the headlines because of the person she married. But, without exaggeration, there are hundreds of thousands of women like her across the country, and they wreak havoc upon the people who are involved with them. They are persistently manipulative, deceitful and vindictive, and they persistently make false allegations of some kind of 'abuse'. ) Surveys regularly show that a large percentage of women would lie over very serious matters. 3. Surveys regularly show that a large percentage of women would lie over very serious matters. In one survey, for example, it was found that half of all women would lie to their husbands or partners to keep their relationship going if they became pregnant by another man and "four out of ten (42%) would lie about contraception in order to get pregnant, in spite of the wishes of their partner." In other words, some 45% of women will coldly lie in circumstances that are very serious indeed. In fact, they will cheat even those whom they would purport to care about - including their own children. And so the notion that a tiny fraction of a percentage of women would not make a false allegation of rape in certain circumstances becomes even more preposterous.  (For example, if just 1/15th of the women who would lie about paternity or contraception (i.e. 3% of all women) would also lie about rape just once during a 50-year period in their lifetimes, then this would account for all the rape allegations made every year over a 50 year period.)  "There are lots of women who make complaints of rape who would sleep with the local donkey." Furthermore, according to Professor Jennifer Tempkin who was, herself, quoting a female barrister; "There are lots of women who make complaints of rape who would sleep with the local donkey." 4. The police in the UK, in general, do not believe women who allege rape. Indeed, the feminists and the women's victim groups are constantly raging about the fact that we still seem to live in "a culture where victims of rape are routinely disbelieved". This suggests that the police officials and their associated counsellors and doctors - most of who are women when it comes to rape cases - are, literally, being flooded by false allegations, and that they are, therefore, very sceptical about allegations of rape. Indeed, if one talks to police officers in private many of them will tell you that they do not believe that most rape allegations are true. In other words, the experts on rape who have to deal with these situations on a daily basis do not believe most of the women who make such allegations. It seems unlikely that these are just uncaring, callous individuals who do not care about women who have been raped. What is far more likely is that they mostly have to keep dealing with allegations which they are sure are decidedly false. 5. Many women make multiple allegations of rape over a long time period - accusing different men. These women are often, clearly, mentally unbalanced, and they are in need of help. But the allegations of these women do, in fact, count when it comes to the statistics concerning the 'number of allegations'. In other words, they represent part of the 12,000 figure. 6. Women rarely get into trouble for making false allegations of rape. Most women can make false allegations with relative impunity. This increases the likelihood that women will stumble into making false allegations. (A few false accusers have been sent to prison recently in the UK, but only because it could be proven that they had purposely made false allegations.) Every woman who makes an official allegation of rape to the police is seeking vengeance of some kind 7. Every woman who makes an official allegation of rape to the police is seeking vengeance of some kind - whether or not a rape has occurred. These women also know that whether or not the man whom they have accused is found guilty, his life will most likely be very seriously affected. As such, when women make official complaints of rape they are, clearly, acting as very hostile 'aggressors'.  (Of course, they might well be quite justified in acting as 'aggressors', but, whether or not this is the case, the point is that they are all 'aggressing'. Indeed, they are all aggressing - usually against someone they know - in an extremely hostile manner. In other words, they are very definitely and actively seeking to 'hurt' somebody. And they are intending to hurt them seriously. As such, therefore, the testimony of such women must always be regarded as highly suspect.) Indeed, the evidence in the area of domestic violence suggests that the majority of women who make domestic violence calls to the police are the 'aggressors' not the 'victims' and that they are simply trying to get the state to aggress on their behalf. As such, it seems quite likely that allegations of rape will often be used by women simply as a means of aggression. 8. 95% of rape allegations made to the police result in no conviction. 9. Some 95% of abuse allegations against teachers made by pupils are deemed to be false. 10. One might also recall all the scare tactics employed by the Home Office and the police concerning the spiking of drinks with rape drugs in pubs and clubs. As a result of these, a few hundred women reported having their drinks spiked prior to being raped. If my memory is correct, the blood tests confirmed that these women had been drunk on alcohol, and that no rape drugs were involved. Nevertheless, all these spurious allegations will be counted as 'rapes' by the Home Office - their number also then being multiplied by a factor of about 10 in order to account for those women who failed to report their alleged rapes. In other words, from some 300 or so allegations made by women who were too drunk to know what they were doing, the Home Office will claim to have discovered another 3,000 'rapes'. The Home Office goes to enormous lengths to deceive the public about the true incidence of rape 11. The Home Office goes to enormous lengths to deceive the public about the true incidence of rape (e.g. see The Home Office Caught Stirring Up Hatred). As just one example of this, it tells the public that the police investigate some 12,000 'rapes' every year - even though only some 600 rapes can actually be substantiated. The Home Office knows that the general public will believe that 12,000 rapes have actually occurred and that the media will dutifully oblige. Here, for example, is how the Times reported the figures two years ago (when the number of allegations was 10,000). RAPES of women rose by more than a quarter to more than 10,000 annually for the first time in the history of police-recorded crime, according to figures published today.  But there were not 10,000 'rapes' in that year. There were about 550. The other allegations were not substantiated. (Most other mainstream media outlets regularly mis-state the figures in a similar manner). The point, however, is this. The Home Office is clearly intent on deceiving the public. (Indeed, it was recently described by a cabinet minister, John Reid, as being 'unfit for purpose' so appalling was the record of its staff when it came to telling the truth.) And so when the Home Office suggests that only some 5% of rape allegations are false, the chances are very high that they are fudging the figures. And the most important thing to note here is that the Home Office can fudge the figures to come up with any numbers; because no-one can possibly know how many of the allegations are valid. The very best that can be said is that when the police, the lawyers, the doctors and the juries have done all the investigating that they possibly can, the result is that, in some 95% of cases, no 'rape' has been proven. But the Home Office is trying to bamboozle the public into believing that all of these cases were 'rapes' - because 'rapes' is how it describes them - all of them. 12. Not all allegations end up going to trial. For one reason or another, they drop out of the process that leads to a trial. Only the best of cases go to a trial; the ones with the greatest chances of gaining successful prosecutions. Indeed, only some 15% of allegations go to trial. But we see men going to trial (and sometimes convicted) when there is no forensic evidence at all, and when the only evidence derives from the testimony of a single accusing woman - sometimes a woman who is actually known to have made false allegations against others in the past.  if these are some of the 'best' cases, with the best evidence, then what on Earth must the others be like? Well, if these are some of the 'best' cases, with the best evidence, then what on Earth must the others be like? - the ones that do not go to trial? The other 85%. Well, these 85% must contain even less credible evidence than maintains in the He Said/She Said situations described above. So, clearly, some 85% of the allegations have evidential value that is actually worth less than that which maintains in the He Said/She Said situations, and yet the Home Office encourages the public to believe that they must have some 'hidden' evidence to suggest that nearly all the allegations are true. But the Home Office does not have such evidence. It is, quite simply, lying to the public. The 5% figure for overall rape convictions is then cleverly used by the feminists and the media to suggest to the public that 19 out of 20 women in Britain see their attacker go free - the idea being to give the impression that thousands of men every year are getting away with rape as a result of official prejudice against women under our allegedly 'patriarchal' system of justice. And if you look at the perpetual torrent of vengeful rhetoric and the outright hostility towards men generated by women of all persuasions - particularly in the media - as a result of this decidedly false claim, it is clear that the Home Office makes no attempt to clarify the matter. Clearly, the staff at the Home Office not only wish to deceive the public on a very important matter, they also want to prosecute and ruin the lives of many innocent men in the process; i.e. the Home Office wants the public to view those men who are acquitted as, nevertheless, being 'guilty'. And, given what these men have already been through, you surely cannot get much lower than that. These men are actually being portrayed as being guilty - by the Home Office - even though they have been vetted and acquitted.   The Truth About Rape The truth of the matter is this. Roughly speaking, some 5% of allegations result in convictions. Some 5% of allegations are judged by the appropriate officials to be very decidedly false. The remaining 90% are simply unsubstantiated. There is no reason whatsoever to believe that the 90% of allegations that are unsubstantiated are valid, but there are very many reasons to believe that most of them are very likely to be false - i.e. as per the 11 points above. None of the above makes any claims about those genuine rapes that are not reported to the police. There could be many thousands every year. But nobody really knows. What is very clear, however, is that the vast majority of those women who do make official complaints to the police are the 'aggressors' not the 'victims', and that they are simply using the state to aggress on their behalf. End Note: Lest anyone think that I am a lone voice in condemning so strongly the Home Office for its wholesale dishonesty when it comes to research on rape, here follows a few quotes from the Centre For Crime And Justice Studies (dated 31/Mar/2008) ...  Professor Reece Walters, argues, `Home Office suppression of criminological research that contradicts ministerial policy and opinion is a feature of this arm of government. The Home Office remains silent on all those topics that have the potential to reflect poorly on government and is not an institution that represents the British public'. Professor Walters calls for an academic boycott of any Home Office sponsored research. In his essay, Professor Tim Hope, reflecting on his experience of working on Home Office research, argues that `having placed such a premium on evidence based policy the government has failed to live up to that promise and has resorted to fixing both the process and publication of Home Office research publication to meet the political needs of the time.' Professor Hope is worried that officials and politicians can be tempted to be selective in their choice of the evidence used to illustrate success of programmes thus resulting in the exclusion of some data and the simplification or misrepresentation of others. Far from ensuring the integrity of its publications, or of the research that it has commissioned, the practice of the Home Office seems to be the manipulation of a secretive process with certain select ‘peers’ as its accomplices. (My underlining) Those select academic 'peers' are, needless to say, highly imbued with a 'feminist perspective'. In other words, they are just as corrupt as are all those other social scientists who discredit their profession and their standing by fiddling the figures in order to further their political aims and their careers.

Also see my short YouTube  video entitled, ... Understanding the Rape Statistics