26/01/04
Most Rape Allegations Are False
Dear Mr. Harry,
I have been enjoying your site for many months
now, but feel compelled to correct an assertion you've made regarding the
incidents of reporting rapes. Specifically, you made the assertion that
"the vast majority of rape allegations are false". Actually, the
number is approximately 40-50% - not a "vast majority" by any means.
As one who has dealt with sex offenders in the
professional realm for many years, I can attest to the fact that in America, no
one is held in lower esteem than the convicted offender. The "vast
majority" of those convicted will never re-offend, despite the canard
foisted upon the people by the rantings of anal-retentive fear mongers that sex
offenders cannot be "cured".
I love your work so please don't allow this
friendly correction to put you off your game.
Best Regards,
R Michigan, USA
Hi R
Thank you for those kind words.
They are much appreciated.
Yes. I have seen - but not studied closely -
some of the research showing that about 45% of rape allegations are false in
the USA, but my own belief is that this figure is a gross underestimate of the
true position.
For example, I looked at some of the research
published by the Home Office in the UK (e.g. see my piece Home Office
Caught Stirring Up Hatred - Again!) and it was clear to me that, firstly,
the rape figures were being inflated many, many times over by the authorities
and, secondly, that the evidence that was available to them supported the view
that the vast majority of rape allegations were false - though they have
done their very best to hide this.
Furthermore, with regard to the USA, researchers like Eugene
J. Kanin 1994 have clearly bent over backwards to keep the false-allegation
figure as low as possible.
For example, in Kanin's work ...
"... for a declaration of false
charge to be made, the complainant must admit that no rape had
occurred. She is the sole agent who can say that the rape charge is false.
The police department will not declare a rape charge as false when the
complainant, for whatever reason, fails to pursue the charge or cooperate on the
case, regardless how much doubt the police may have regarding the validity of
the charge.
In short, these cases are declared false
only because the complainant admitted they are false."
(my underlining)
Kanin's 45% figure surely therefore represents
a rock solid floor given that allegations were counted as being false only when
the evidence supporting such a conclusion was pretty overwhelming. Thus, unless the accusers themselves admitted
eventually to their allegations being false, they were not counted as
false.
Furthermore, given that his research was
carried out "in a small metropolitan area" (rather than in a
large anonymous city wherein crime, dishonesty and disharmony are far more
prevalent) it would not seem unreasonable to suppose that the number of false
allegations in such a small place would be much less than the country's average.
Additionally, much of the other research in this area
of false allegations also seems to exclude those rather 'gray' cases where the evidence is not very
clear - for obvious reasons.
But the gray cases will be the majority of cases!
And if these gray cases could actually be
investigated properly (which they probably cannot be) I am sure that the
percentage of false allegations would be found to be much, much higher in them.
There is also a question of definition - i.e.
what is rape?
And my own belief is that the term 'rape' has
been so misapplied in recent years that even many of those men who are objectively
found to have crossed the line into 'rape' have done so only because its meaning
has been fudged by the legal profession to include actions that are not, in fact, 'rape'.
In fact, I do not really have any doubt in
my mind that far fewer men will 'rape' than there are women who will lie about
it.
After all, the former requires some serious criminal
intent with the possibility of a very long jail sentence, whereas the latter is
very easily done, there is usually much to be gained from it, women are daily
being urged to see themselves as having been abused in some way, and - to put it
bluntly - millions of women are very emotionally unstable, and most of these would
probably even admit to
being so.
For example, some 4 million US women have
borderline personality disorder - and they are constantly making false
allegations of 'abuse' - and some 15 million US women have serious emotional
problems stemming from PMS every month.
I imagine that these sorts of things account
for most of the rape allegations that are made.
Furthermore, the way in which rape cases are
handled these days seems almost designed to encourage and attract false
allegations.
My belief is that the vast majority of rape
allegations are false and, also, that the vast majority of real rapes go
unreported.
Indeed, if you were to agree with the latter
but not with the former, you would surely have to conclude that there are many
times more male rapists running around than there are women who would stumble
into making a false allegation of rape.
After all, if it is true that the vast majority of real rapes go unreported,
and it is also true that the vast majority of rape allegations made to the
police are true, then it follows that men are raping women many times more
often than are women making false allegations.
And, in my view, this possibility is extremely unlikely - particularly given the way in which many
millions
of women are known to behave and given the many inducements and benefits that
there are to be had from making false allegations.
Furthermore, women are the masters of emotional
manipulation, deceit and distortion. These are the weapons that they use from
the day that they are born. And a well-known tactic of theirs is to manipulate
other men (or the authorities in this case) into using some form of aggression
against their 'enemies' on their behalf.
And so when you consider the fact that most
allegations of rape are made not against strangers but arise between those who
are having serious relationship problems it is inconceivable that
false and/or exaggerated allegations of rape are not made in great numbers.
It is also worthwhile noting that any
researcher who dared to claim that his work showed that rape allegations
were 70, 80 or 90% false would probably find himself in serious trouble, he
would not go far in his career, and his work would almost certainly remain unpublished.
In conclusion, my belief is that the 40-50%
false allegation figure is a gross underestimate because ...
1. Researchers only count as 'false' those
allegations where the evidence that they are false is very strong.
2. The vast majority of rape cases are
excluded from the 'false-allegation research' because they are 'gray'. And yet
it is in these gray cases where most false allegations are likely to be made.
3. The definition of rape has been fudged to a
ludicrous degree. (Indeed, with such fudging, most men can probably be said to
have 'raped' at some time in their lives.)
4. Millions of women are emotionally unstable
and are also prone to making false allegations in all sorts of areas - including
rape. It seems to be part of their nature.
5. Millions of women have a great deal to gain
by making false allegations.
6. Emotional manipulation and deceit are tools
that women are highly adept at using - particularly when it comes to getting
other people - the authorities - and particularly men - to take on their
enemies.
7. Most accusations of rape occur in
situations where intimates are having serious relationship problems.
8. The feminists and the abuse industry are
notorious for their dishonest propaganda and their lies concerning matters to do
with 'abuse', and their ability to intimidate academics, the judiciary, the
authorities etc etc into supporting their claims means that the true number of
false allegations are bound to be grossly underestimated - e.g. because too many
professionals are genuinely too scared to look too closely into the matter of
false allegations or to come forward with the truth about what they know.
Having said all this, if you have any good
research references that counter my view on this topic I would be delighted to
see them.
But I do not think that it is actually
possible for such 'good' research to exist.
For example, even as things stand at the
moment, the vast majority of rape allegations do not lead to
convictions. How could an academic researcher therefore establish that they should
have led to convictions? After all, the investigating prosecutors and the juries
failed to come up with the appropriate goods!
What could an academic possibly discover in
all these cases that the officials themselves failed to discover?
And, for example again, what notion of 'rape'
would such an academic apply?
From what I have seen there is no way of
realistically countering the claim that the 'vast majority' of rape allegations
made to the police are false, but there is a great deal of evidence - much of it
circumstantial, but, nevertheless, fairly strong and convincing - to
support such a claim.
Well. That's my opinion!
Harry